Simulation
Simulate GARCH(1,1)/TGARCH(1,1) innovations
sim_vol_garch sim_vol_garch(n, omega = 0.1, alpha = 0.1, beta = 0.8, gamma = 0, seed = NULL) Generates shocks z_t = sqrt(h_t) * eps_t from a GARCH(1,1) recursion with an optional threshold (leverage) term, for use as sim_psy1(..., e = sim_vol_garch(...)).
Arguments
| n | Number of innovations to generate. |
| omega, alpha, beta | Positive GARCH(1,1) parameters. The defaults
(omega = 0.1, alpha = 0.1, beta = 0.8) match Whitehouse, Harvey &
Leybourne (2025) and Harvey, Leybourne, Taylor & Zu (2024). |
| gamma | Non-negative TGARCH leverage parameter. The NASDAQ calibration of
Monschang & Wilfling (2021) is omega = 0.4387, alpha = 0, beta = 0.9319,
gamma = 0.1306. |
| seed | An object specifying if and how the random number generator (rng)
should be initialized. It is either NULL or an integer, which is passed to
set.seed before the simulation. If you set it, the value is saved as the
"seed" attribute of the returned value. The default, NULL, leaves the state of
the rng unchanged and returns .Random.seed as the "seed" attribute. Results are
reproducible across the parallel and the non-parallel option when you use the
same seed. |
Value
A numeric vector of length n.
Details
with and . gamma = 0 (the default) gives plain GARCH(1,1), and gamma > 0 adds the TGARCH leverage effect, a larger response to negative shocks.
Examples
These examples are copied from the package's own documentation and are run by R CMD check on every release.
The printed output (after #>) and the plots were produced by running them against the current package source.
sim_vol_garch(199, seed = 1) %>%
autoplot() # NASDAQ-calibrated TGARCH (Monschang & Wilfling 2021)
sim_vol_garch(199, omega = 0.4387, alpha = 0, beta = 0.9319, gamma = 0.1306, seed = 1) %>%
autoplot() See also
References
Whitehouse, E.J., Harvey, D.I. & Leybourne, S.J. (2025). "Real-time monitoring of explosive financial bubbles." Monschang, V. & Wilfling, B. (2021). "Sup-ADF-style bubble-detection methods under test." Empirical Economics, 61, 145-172.
exuber